With the first official day of fall last week, cooler fall weather will inevitably move into the region. Environment Canada Meteorologist Dan Kulak explains that they have enough of a prediction to say that there will be temperatures above normal for the next few months.
“We look at the last 30 years and in really simple terms, break it down into the 10 coldest, 10 warmest and 10 middle years. We think that this is going to be one of the warmer than we have seen in the past 30.”
Kulak adds that with information they have right now, it could also be a wet season.
“Moisture is more difficult to predict. We do have a forecast that does predict wetter than normal fall for portions of west central and north western Alberta.”
He adds that precipitation is a very variable phenomenon and that it only takes one weather system to clear the slate on precipitation predictions. With about a week left in the month, this September has had 25 millimetres of precipitation which is less than last September.
At the beginning of summer, Kulak explains that meteorologists were predicting a La Niña winter but with current data, he says it should be more of an average winter.